A mix of on-chain, fundamental, and technical indicators hint at a continuing Pepe price decline ahead.
Pepecoin PEPE $0.000001 price has crashed nearly 85% from its record high of $0.00000448 in May 2023. What’s more, its bearish momentum is likely to continue in September.
Back-to-back Pepecoin security breaches
Pepecoin has suffered two concerning security breaches in the last two weeks.
First, on Aug. 24, Pepecoin’s rogue founding team members transferred $16 million worth of PEPE tokens to exchanges to potentially sell them. That created concerns across the community about a potential “rug pull scam,” causing a 30% decline in the PEPE market.
Then, on Sep. 9, Pepecoin’s official X (aka Twitter) handle confirmed that an anonymous entity dubbed “lordkeklol” had hacked their accredited Telegram channel.
PEPE price has dropped over 12% since the news, hinting that the back-to-back security breaches have eroded investors’ confidence in the memecoin project.
Pepe whales exit
More evidence about Pepecoin’s investors leaving the project comes from the token’s supply distribution data.
Notably, addresses with a balance between 100 million and 1 billion PEPE (the blue wave in the chart below) control the token’s maximum circulating supply — about 96.5% of it. The supply held by this cohort has dropped substantially since the “rug pull” concerns emerged.
This whale departure from the project could further erode buying sentiment in the PEPE market.
Descending triangle breakdown
From a technical perspective, PEPE has entered the breakdown stage of what it appears to be a descending triangle pattern.
A descending triangle in a downtrend is looked as a bearish continuation pattern. The pattern resolves when the price breaks below its lower trendline and falls by as much as the height between the triangle’s upper and lower trendline.
As a result of this technical setup, PEPE price risks falling to $0.00000064 in September 2023, down about 12% from current price levels.